Archive for July, 2008

Direct Marketing is Dead. Long Live Direct Marketing!

(A temporary respite from venture capital and micro-entrepreneurship. We’ll return to the topic soon.)

How does traditional targeted direct marketing work?

(click on the drawing for a large, legible version) *

Old Direct Marketing (Taylor Davidson)

Traditional targeted direct marketing is based on the premise that marketers can control differentiated information and messaging presented to segmented groups of individuals.

  • The traditional method works well in a business and social environment where information is obscured, where companies can control messaging to groups of people and where people cannot easily share information between groups.
  • If the marketer is wrong in one part of the “person + product + marketing message” equation, the pitch fails. Companies optimize to the system to develop the best answers to this equation.
  • Marketing creates the brand by “talking” and controlling the information flow between the company and people.

How is direct marketing changing?

(click on the drawing for a large, legible version)

Direct Marketing, New World (Taylor Davidson)

In an environment where marketers’ ability to dictate the person + marketing message + product equation decreases, the marketing and product approach needs to shift to leverage shifting flows of information.

  • In a business and social environment where information flows outside of the normal direct marketing firewalls and companies cannot control the messaging to segmented customer bases, the traditional approach begins to break down.
  • The equation becomes a little more fluid and variable as the range of inputs and answers increase drastically.
  • Traditional targeted direct marketing still exists; but to a lesser extent, focusing on specific segments or products as dictated by best practices, lessons from the marketplace and corporate initiatives.
  • But since companies can no longer control the flow of information as consumers can talk between groups on the same scale as companies, controlling the message becomes an unrealistic goal.
  • Therefore the desire to control the message leads to high customer acquisition costs as the traditional channels used to control the message become increasingly ineffective.
  • What can still be controlled? Product becomes more important than marketing. Product builds the brand.
  • Marketing shifts from positioning to reinforcing.

How can marketers adapt to this new environment?

  • The opportunity of “alternative media”, social media, “alternative channels” et. al. is to integrate with traditional media, not replace.
  • To understand how to adapt to the new environment, focus on the fundamental shifts in the flow of information; the shifts have rebalanced the efficiency and effectiveness between the various traditional and newer marketing strategies and tactics.
  • Marketers still have to understand the intended customer base and the product value proposition to create great marketing strategies. Expose oneself to the new tactics and possibilities of alternative media, but remain focused on creating strategies that achieve the primary marketing goals and objectives. Choosing a particular tactic without first understanding the fit in the strategy and its goals neglects fundamental marketing best practices.
  • It’s not an “either/or” decision between traditional and alternative media: the answer is “both”.
  • But at the same time, get comfortable with spending less money, not more.**

Direct marketing is dead!

Long live direct marketing!

* I know my handwriting is chicken-scratch at best. I hope it’s legible…
** Insight by Ethan Bauley.

Why is it important to test ideas in the marketplace?

Evan Williams on evaluating new product ideas:

The key question for evaluating an idea [on the topic of obviousness] is number one: Is it obvious why people should use it? In most cases, obviousness in this regard is inversely proportional to tractability. The cost of [xxx] and [xxx2]‘s high tractability was the fact that they were defining a new type of behavior. The number one response to [xxx2], still, is Why would anyone do that? Once people try it, they tend to like it. But communicating its benefits is difficult. We’re heartened by the fact that Why would anyone do that? was the default response by the mainstream to blogging for years, as well, and eventually tens of millions of people came around. *

While we all understand that changing behavior is a tough proposition for any new product, establishing a new behavior is an entirely different beast with a different response mechanism and value proposition. Taking somebody from 0 to 1 (no to yes, or free to spending $1) is much different than taking someone from 1 to 2 (yes to a little more, or spending $1 to $2), since the decisions being made are fundamentally different.

Usually we can fall back on the “better, faster, cheaper” framework to evaluate an idea, but sometimes we can hit on idea that captures none of the three because the range of true substitute behaviors is so limited.

Therefore there is value in testing ideas in the marketplace. Not every idea needs to have a “proven business model” before it is launched or funded; for many industries and products this simply isn’t possible. The key is for the entrepreneur and the investor to understand the situation and structure their decisions appropriately.

There might be a lot of froth in the early-stage startup world right now: technologies masquerading as businesses, features mistaken as products, adoption and growth misunderstood as fanboy testing. But as long as the entrepreneur and the investor understand this, and stage their expectations, decisions and funding appropriately, what is wrong with testing?

Let the ideas and the intellect hit the marketplace: learn, test, refine, redirect, stop, redeploy. Let the creative cycle of creation and destruction flow…

* [xxx] and [xxx2] are Blogger and Twitter, respectively, both of which were started by Evan Williams. I removed the company names so that we could focus on the idea and not the products. Fact is we still don’t know the “right” business model for these products…

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