Archive for November, 2008

The US automotive industry needs to fail to succeed

Roger Ehrenberg, Markets, Politics and Change:

Throwing $25 billion at the U.S. auto sector is akin to the $25 billion thrown at Citigroup; money flushed down the toilet. With over $100 billion of legacy pension and health care costs, a lack of globally competitive, fuel efficient cars and bloated cost structures, the U.S. auto industry as we know it has to die. Putting politics aside, it is simply foolish to pander to the UAW and their lobbyists by trying to save an industry that can’t be saved. Let’s take this opportunity through the bankruptcy process to purge unnecessary costs, sell valued assets to the private sector and re-purpose a skilled labor force towards infrastructure projects that can benefit the economy. Obama needs to make a stand that he is up for doing right, not simply thanking those who donated huge dollars and expect repayment – fast.

I can’t bear to watch or read the news about the automotive industry’s attempt to strip-mine taxpayers and the government. The automotive industry needs to fail first to succeed. Please don’t let the automotive companies, lobbyists and entrentched interests convince the government to delay the inevitable. We don’t need to flush billions of dollars into the pockets of the sycophants of a failing industry. Please.

Random
Why do we constantly compare our current economic situation to the Great Depression?

We’ve all seen and read tons of articles and academic papers discussing our current economic situation, many with titles similar to “Worse than the Great Depression”. But we live in a massively different economic and geopolitical world than the 1930s-40s and the answers to our current problems are very different than those faced during the Great Depression.

Comparing our current economic situation to the Great Depression creates the wrong frame.

I’m not a practicing economist, so if I’m wrong, please tell me. I’d love to know why I’m wrong: I’m here to learn.

What do I read for economic analysis? Mostly:

And, of course, a lot of other sources that might not make immediate sense to everyone…

Nico Nico Douga: Monetizing a Community

Forrester Research (subscription required): How Nico Nico Douga Energizes its Community to Create Appealing Video Experiences:

Japan’s second largest online video portal – Nico Nico Douga – has succeeded in engaging its target audience of young Japanese consumers.

Nico Nico Douga – a homegrown video-sharing community – grew to 7 million registered members between its January 2007 launch and July of 2008.

If you’ve never seen the interface, it’s wild. It’s a complete, anonymous free-for-all: viewers of videos create colorful, witty, comments that appear at selected times, overlayed on top of the video, creating an immersive, cluttered, meta-rich viewing experience for online videos. And since the users’ additions and comments only stay up for days or weeks, the experience is constantly changing. This is not YouTube.

[Nico Nico Douga was originally] an interface for viewing YouTube content rather than a site in its own right. However, after YouTube blocked Nico Nico Douga from showing YouTube content, the owners … relaunched their service two weeks later as a full video sharing community.

Even though user growth was strong, Nico Nico Douga struggled to monetize its service. Instead of succumbing to indirect monetization efforts such as advertising…

Rather than alienating the community by interrupting people’s experience with ads, Nico Nico Douga launched a low-price “premium” membership (500 yen per month), with minimal benefits (e.g. a few high-definition videos and some extra fonts and colors to use on screen).

Even though virtually all content and function is available without upgrading, 200,000 of Nico Nico Douga’s members were motivated to sign up by their desire to ensure the community’s survival. The fees provide 60% of the company’s revenue.

The freemium model can work. I doubt the paying members pay just because they want to keep the community alive: anyone doubt there is a “badging effect”? Give people the opportunity to display their status and they will take it: and they’ll even pay for it if it helps differentiate themselves to their community.

Creators and viewers of videos can place links to Amazon Japan and other retailers under the videos – letting people buy items that are related to the videos Fans of a particular video are often the best judges of whether other fans would appreciate a link to buy figurines that look like the characters in the video or purchase the background music. Users can see how many sales were generated, but Nico Nico Douga keeps the affiliate revenues. The site’s executives say it would destroy the atmosphere of the community if people started to participate with the aim of earning affiliate revenue rather than for the sake of generating and sharing cool content. (emphasis added by me)

Again, incentives guide behavior.

Nico Nico Douga executives “trust their instinct rather than employ methodical research and design processes.” How?

  • Hiring people who are its target audience.
  • Having a culture that puts the fan base first.
  • Relishing popularizing content created by the fan base.

For example, Nico Nico Douga’s target audience are “young slackers”, and they intentionally target employees with “High School of Junior High School” educations, eschewing university graduates. Not exactly normal in Japan. Unsurprisingly, they enjoy and are good at cultivating and supporting an audience that enjoys tweaking mainstream culture.

There are plenty of communities in other web cultures around the world with fantastic user bases: what can we learn from others’ experiences?

When will learn that monetizing eyeballs is not just about advertising?

When will we learn that advertising on social networks doesn’t work?

When will we realize that nobody really likes ads?

When will we learn to monetize intention, not attention?

MORE: Financial Models for Entrepreneurs