Archive for the ‘Financial and Business Models for New Opportunities’ Category

Creating, funding and acquiring “skins of data”

Ethan Bauley riffing on RWW: New Tweetdeck Out Tomorrow, Here’s What It Will Include:

By far the most interesting thing about this to me is what it means for future software M&A deals. Tweetdeck is funded by betaworks, which is also an investor in Twitter. Betaworks also sold Summize to Twitter, which became known as Twitter Search.

I’m sure the geniuses at USV and betaworks have been brewing these strategies for a while, but it’s very cool to see an M&A market built on companies that create value using an API.

My comment:

Mark MacLeod wrote about the “era of the small exit” a couple weeks ago; what we’re seeing is the result of what happens when people can create products (or even businesses?) based on creating new “skins of data” on top of platforms using public APIs.

As I commented on his site:

Not only might the M&A market might become an efficient hiring market for talent and products, but finding and executing the right acquisitions and partnerships sooner and quicker might become a more important core competence than planning and executing product extension development.

From an investor standpoint, I wonder if there is more value in funding the “skins of data” or the “platforms of data”?

I don’t think that the same investor will fund multiple skins of data on a shared platform; it creates too many conflicts of interest and consolidates the investment dollars into a single platform.

Implications? In the latest iteration of the “build v. buy” and “built to flip” debates,

  • The best strategy for building product extensions is giving access to the platform via an API and 1) learning to create and share value with the ecosystem as easily as possible and, depending on the strategy, 2) buying the best products / businesses created.
  • The best way to get hired might be to create your own job.
  • Entrepreneurs and their investors should revisit and perhaps refocus on early exits as they are creating operational goals and capital structures.
  • The best investment strategies might be to focus on either platforms or skins; but note that each strategy requires very different operational, funding and entrepreneur support strategies.

In a skittish entrepreneurial and investment climate, I am doubtful that entrepreneurs will commit the time and effort to build new platforms, especially with investors less likely to fund the gap between costs and revenues.

Until then, creating, funding and acquiring “skins of data” will likely be the locus of activity even if they do not create the most long-term value.

Value is created at the edges but captured at the hubs.

Even though I’m trying to focus more on “translating business strategies into financial models”, I can’t help but explore. Pardon me for a bit of rambling thought…

Back in late November and early December I wrote two posts about new platforms and new trends for entrepreneurs to leverage.

While, yes, it is all about the network, the Internet is not the only network. The idea of creating and leveraging networks doesn’t need to only apply to consumer-oriented Internet applications.

Focusing on transportation networks for a minute…

What trends can entrepreneurs leverage to create new businesses? One of many:

Stabilizing the economy is going to fall to government intervention and investment.

What will the government invest in? What themes did we see in the campaigns? Off the top of my head: Iraq, energy independence, infrastructure investment and revitalization, economic and financial stabilization. Obama has already declared his intention to create jobs by investing in transportation and energy infrastructure projects. While these may not sounds like obvious areas for startups, they are probably more meaningful than another desktop or mobile Twitter client or a new way to share photos.

What is the next platform for new businesses? Pointing out one:

Transportation

Venture capitalists and entrepreneurs have traditionally stayed away from opportunities that require big, inflexible, systemic changes to succeed. The required scale is simply to large, the risks are simply to big, the timeframes too long. But how could the government create a new platform in public transportation for entrepreneurs to leverage? How could entrepreneurs develop businesses based on existing transportation networks?

As usual, I’m not the only one thinking about the concept; Chris Timmerman of Brand Avenue, Interstate Redux highlights Karrie Jacobs of Metropolis Magazine, Rethinking the Interstate:

[Obama] has been talking up a huge economic-stimulus package and saying he’ll “rebuild our crumbling roads and bridges.” Infrastructure is suddenly a buzzword…

The Dwight D. Eisenhower National System of Interstate and Defense Highways, created when Ike signed the Federal Aid Highway Act of 1956, was a symbol of everything that was both right and wrong about this country. That we were able to plan and execute something so ambitious—more than 46,000 miles of highway—seems, at this juncture, wondrous. Of course, the system undermined our cities, encouraged suburbanization and sprawl, and solidified our dependence on the automobile. This tends to undercut the glory of the achievement.

But it’s time for us to look at the interstate system not as an aging network of highways in need of repair or replacement but instead as we might look at a navigable river.

… What if we thought of [interstates] as the backbone of a new, more diverse 21st-century transportation system? “It’s time for a different vision, Blumenauer says. “And a principle for that is how we coax more out of existing resources.”

How could the existing transportation network be leveraged?

Imagine an interstate system that is “not just a route for cars and trucks but an intermodal-transportation-and-energy corridor.”
  • Imagine the the opportunity for interstates to be a platform for a broader set of transportation choices (e.g. rail, electric cars).
  • Imagine how interstates could link smart grids to aggregate and distribute electricity.
  • Imagine the data we create through our daily physical and virtual movement around our worlds and about the opportunities in structuring, understanding and using that data to cull out life-altering signals from the noise we create.
  • Imagine the hubs of activity, commerce and value creation as the routes of people and power intersect.
  • Where is the value created and where does it go in networked industries?

    Value is created at the edges but captured at the hubs.

    Remember, that while the activity is in the tail, the money is in the head.

    And our transportation and energy networks (not just the United States, but anywhere in the world) might hold the biggest heads (and tails) of all.

    Obviously solving our transportation and energy infrastructure problems is not an easy task and requires extensive integrated planning between agencies for “highways, energy, rail, transportation, housing, and urban development.” Solving large, complex problems through coordinated large-scale systemic overhaul isn’t exactly what venture capitalists and entrepreneurs do well.

    Given that it’s probably not possible to radically restructure markets in the transportation industries right now, perhaps thinking about shaping strategies will create better frames for thought.

    But to think there aren’t opportunities would be pretty short-sighted…

    Related

    MORE: Financial Models for Entrepreneurs